5.1 xPts77%
The safest bet.
0000
Decisions
Across the whole league, Haaland is the armband this reading would pick. Build your squad
Haaland projects more points than anyone else.
Worth
vs B.Fernandes
Projection · basis: Points gained in GW8 by captaining Haaland over B.Fernandes: the difference between their projections (5.1 and 5.1), multiplied by the extra 1 copy the armband adds. xPts for GW8, projected from each player's completed-season record and the published fixture list. The ranked list, a player's page, a comparison and the pitch show the same figure. 449 of 668 players have appeared so far in 2026/27; the rest have no minutes yet and are projected from a price-and-position cohort prior instead. Every player is projected from his full record of completed seasons, read for all 668 of them at once and shared by every screen. · updated just now · confidence: medium
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
Risk14% chance the armband starts on the bench.
Vice: B.Fernandes
5.1 xPts77%
The safest bet.
5.1 xPts77%
The most points.
5.1 xPts29%
The biggest ceiling.
Ranked by the projection itself: the most points expected, with the shape of the outcome treated as neither a bonus nor a penalty. Two of the three readings agree and one does not, so the choice turns on how much of the downside you are willing to carry.
Every FPL squad FPL publishes the share of all squads holding each player. Read as published.
Captain effective ownership FPL has never published who is captained, only who is owned. Captain effective ownership elsewhere comes from reading squads one by one, and none are readable before the first deadline. So the gap is shown.
The top thousandThe top ten thousandThe top hundred thousand FPL publishes no ownership figure for any slice of the table, only for all squads at once.
Managers still playing FPL does not say which entries are still being played, so there is no reliable denominator for “active managers”.
One player in your starting XI wears the armband, and his score is multiplied by 2. The multiplier applies to everything he scores, including negative points from cards and goals conceded.
You also name a vice-captain. If your captain plays no minutes at all, the armband passes to the vice-captain automatically. If neither the captain nor the vice-captain plays, no captain multiplier is applied at all.
Captain point multiplier = 2. FPL does not publish it in a machine-readable form. "Your captain's score will be doubled" (https://fantasy.premierleague.com/help/rules)
The case
Haaland projects more points than anyone else.
The armband multiplies him by 2, adding 5.1. A Triple Captain would multiply him by 3 instead, adding 10.3.
Some of this figure leans on players like him. No football has been played this season, so GW8 is a projection.
14% chance the armband starts on the bench.
B.Fernandes becomes the stronger pick if what B.Fernandes returns rises above 5.1 points. It stands at 5.1 points. That is inside the plausible range. What Haaland returns below 5.1 points would too.
There is not enough between these to call one of them the answer.
Vice-captain
B.Fernandes is the next-best armband on this reading. He inherits it if Haaland plays no minutes at all. That is a 0.3% chance this gameweek. The vice is worth 0.01 in expectation.
Worth in expectation
It only pays out in the 0.3% of weeks Haaland plays no minutes at all.
Projection · basis: What the vice-captaincy adds in GW8 before the fact: the chance Haaland plays no minutes at all (0.3%, from the minutes model behind his projection) multiplied by what the armband would then be worth on B.Fernandes. It is an expectation over both outcomes, not a forecast of either. xPts for GW8, projected from each player's completed-season record and the published fixture list. The ranked list, a player's page, a comparison and the pitch show the same figure. 449 of 668 players have appeared so far in 2026/27; the rest have no minutes yet and are projected from a price-and-position cohort prior instead. Every player is projected from his full record of completed seasons, read for all 668 of them at once and shared by every screen. · updated just now · confidence: medium
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
B.Fernandes projected
MUN · 87% to start. The armband would be worth 5.1 on him.
Projection · basis: B.Fernandes, GW8. xPts for GW8, projected from each player's completed-season record and the published fixture list. The ranked list, a player's page, a comparison and the pitch show the same figure. 449 of 668 players have appeared so far in 2026/27; the rest have no minutes yet and are projected from a price-and-position cohort prior instead. Every player is projected from his full record of completed seasons, read for all 668 of them at once and shared by every screen. · updated just now · confidence: medium
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
The ranking
No FPL team is connected, so there is no squad to read. A team id is public information — nothing here ever asks for your password.
| # | Player | xPts | Floor | Ceiling | Start | Own |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HaalandC | 5.1 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 86% | 76.9% |
| 2 | B.FernandesV | 5.1 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 87% | 28.6% |
| 3 | Lacroix | 4.6 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 92% | 6.3% |
| 4 | Palmer | 4.5 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 73% | 26.7% |
| 5 | Mbeumo | 4.5 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 83% | 20.6% |
| 6 | Gabriel | 4.4 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 79% | 21.1% |
| 7 | Rice | 4.3 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 92% | 11.4% |
| 8 | Gibbs-White | 4.1 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 91% | 11.4% |
| 9 | João Pedro | 4.1 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 72% | 73.0% |
| 10 | E.Le Fée | 3.9 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 87% | 2.9% |
| 11 | Virgil | 3.8 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 86% | 15.3% |
| 12 | Enzo | 3.8 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 87% | 4.0% |